New assessment: Trump's attacks vary widely within the Danish government
DR-Politics in Politics
Friday, March 28, 2025 • 5:01 AM UTC - in Politics
Showbiz goes up and down.
The same is true for opinion polls.
Just ask the Social Democrats, who in a new opinion poll conducted by Epinion for DR and Altinget are set to see a significant increase with 23.2% of votes.
At the latest poll, which took place in January, the party was set to receive 19.7% of votes. This is the first time since March 2024 that Epinion has measured the Social Democrats over 20%.
The poll comes on the heels of the fact that the government has had to handle the new American president, Donald Trump, who wants to take control of Greenland.
And the increase pleases Social Democrats' political spokesperson, Christian Rabjerg Madsen, who also sees it as an expression of support for the government's foreign policy.
- I think it's the Danes who are paying for the fact that the prime minister has had an incredibly secure hand and also played a crucial role in bringing Europe together at a very difficult time, says Christian Rabjerg Madsen.
In total, the government is set to receive 36.1% of votes. For the parliamentary elections, they received 50.1% of votes.
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'The most important poll is the one on election night'
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There is also a small increase to be seen at Venstre.
At the latest poll, the party received 8.6% of votes, but this time they are set to receive 9.3%, which is within the statistical margin of error.
- I'm happier with a small increase than I am with a small decrease. I would have of course liked to see it be larger, but it's going the right way, says Venstre's political spokesperson, Jan E. Jørgensen.
He believes that the blue voters will still gather around Venstre, because they can deliver a "strong, stable hand on the wheel," while everything is about foreign policy.
- Venstre stands enormously strong on the foreign policy agenda, on EU and defense. So in that way, I'm not concerned. It fits Venstre very well, says Jan E. Jørgensen.
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About the poll
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This survey was conducted on the basis of a total of 2,026 completed interviews with Danes aged 18 and over, of whom 1,640 (81%) have given a party preference.
The survey was conducted as both telephone interviews and web interviews via an online panel from March 19, 2025 to March 26, 2025.
The maximum sampling error on the combined results is +/- 2.7 percentage points.
However, it is not the case for Lars Løkke Rasmussen's party, the Moderates, who are not gaining votes despite the foreign policy situation.
In the latest poll, they stood at 4.4% of votes. In today's poll, they stand at 3.6% of votes. This is within the statistical margin of error.
And the poll is therefore not something that political spokesperson Monika Rubin is kept awake at night over.
- We have been through a turbulent time in our secretariat in the Moderates, and it has taken some focus away from the politics we have managed to get through, says she and points out that the party has experience with poor opinion polls.
- We were also below the threshold when the parliamentary elections started, so the most important poll is the one that falls on election night, says Monika Rubin.
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Prime Minister effect
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So it's only the Social Democrats who can see a larger increase in the latest opinion poll.
According to Jan E. Jørgensen, it's about a "prime minister effect" due to the current foreign policy and security policy situation.
But it doesn't mean that they in the Social Democrats are happy about the foreign policy situation that Mette Frederiksen is currently dealing with, slams Christian Rabjerg Madsen.
- It's a crisis for real. I hope we have a Russia that packs up and drops the aggressive, militaristic approach, so we can focus on creating peace and progress in Europe. It's much more important than a poll that can go up and down.
Even though Moderates' leader, Foreign Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen, also spends most of his waking hours on the foreign policy and security policy situation, it cannot be seen in the poll.
Monika Rubin can't explain why it is so. But it is not what keeps her awake at night, she adds again.
- It's the political project that keeps me awake at night, and it's that we should have made an economic 2040 plan, a values reform, and then there is also a municipal election, which we have a lot of focus on in the Moderates.
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