Friday is an unlucky day for S, especially when billions again topple in
Berlingske-Politics in Politics
Wednesday, May 14, 2025 • 4:31 AM UTC - in Politics
On Friday, it is a big holiday.
According to DMI, it is a day when the weather will be "most dry with some or a few hours of sun. Temperatures up to between 15 and 20 degrees,".
Such a day, where one could go to the park, visit the summer house, visit family or sit on the balcony with the warm wheat.
If one otherwise had free time.
Normally one would say that it is a happy news when more money flows into the state treasury. But it is not the case for the Social Democrats, if voters continue to oppose the abolition of the holiday.
Since Mette Frederiksen became prime minister for the SVM government, the economic room, according to an assessment from the Ministry of Finance (https://www.ft.dk/samling/20241/almdel/fiu/spm/148/svar/2118581/2987025.pdf), has been adjusted with a total of 45.5 billion kroner in 2030.
In the coming months, another significant adjustment is expected, as reported by Børsen (https://borsen.dk/nyheder/perspektiv/pengene-er-vaeltet-ind-i-statskassen-nu-er-endnu-flere-pa-vej?b_source=borsen&b_medium=row_4&b_campaign=perspektiv_news_2), and it is confirmed by sources that Berlingske has spoken with.
This means that especially the social democratic core voters and the left wing – demanding or aggressive – will ask if big holidays will return, or if the pension age will not be set to 70 years in 2040.
In a government with two liberal parties, the social democrats find themselves best with a feeling of necessity and crisis, which can passive the background and justify the interventions that hurt ordinary wage earners.
In contrast to Venstre and Moderaterne, it was the crises that for Mette Frederiksen justified the formation of the SVM government. Each time, new crises have appeared in the form of war in Ukraine, inflation, threats of fines and other, Social Democrats have grown in the opinion polls. On the contrary, it has gone when crises seemed to pass.
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More foreigners in jobs
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Since the economic room now seems likely to grow significantly with the sixth adjustment in this election period, it is therefore politically a frustration for the large ruling party.
In Dagbladet Børsen (https://borsen.dk/nyheder/perspektiv/pengene-er-vaeltet-ind-i-statskassen-nu-er-endnu-flere-pa-vej?b_source=borsen&b_medium=row_4&b_campaign=perspektiv_news_2), Arbejderbevægelsens Erhvervsråd predicts that structural employment will be adjusted by 30,000 people, which in the worst case points to an adjustment of a billion-dollar amount.
The many extra money in the state treasury is mainly due to the fact that much more foreign labor than expected comes here to work. From other EU countries they can freely travel to Denmark, and many more, than the Ministry of Finance had expected.
Tuesday, the Ministry of Finance (https://fm.dk/nyheder/nyhedsarkiv/2025/maj/kommende-metodeeftersyn-af-de-mellemfristede-fremskrivninger/) issued a press release announcing "the review" of the government's budget model and repeated errors.
"There have been repeated adjustments of the economic room. It is obviously not desirable," says finance minister Nicolai Wammen (https://fm.dk/nyheder/nyhedsarkiv/2025/maj/kommende-metodeeftersyn-af-de-mellemfristede-fremskrivninger/).
The government has promised to present a large economic plan in the fall, which prioritizes and addresses the large bills to Ukraine, to defense when NATO's strength goals are met, to climate insurance, to more elderly and to an expected increased contingent in the EU.
Before the large plan, a larger political arm wrestling is expected between the three ruling parties. How much should eventual additional funds go to tax cuts and upgrading of welfare?
But maybe the arm wrestling is not necessary.
A large economic plan was in winter first and foremost a wish from Moderaterne and Lars Løkke Rasmussen, when it was clear that the Danish defense budget would have to be significantly higher.
But as the economic room grows, and an election approaches, it is hard to see that it would be in the interest of Venstre and Social Democrats to politically lock themselves in advance to a long-term economic plan that in essence would depend on the SVM government continuing after an election.
Until now, it looks like only Moderaterne are laying down a new center-right government after an election.
Warning: This article was translated by a Large Language Model, in case of doubt, you can always visit the original source.